of its zero- covid policy. China' s reopening is likely to be positive for global economic growth.
1. Increased domestic demand
Retail Sales YoY is the main indicator of consumer
spending. This indicator rose to 3.5% in February. So, China's trading partners' exports of basic
goods
could be expected to increase.
2. Tourism reactivation
China’s reopening could boost tourism, especially in
the Asia-Pacific region. The Pacific Asia Travel Association forecasts Chinese outbound travel to
Asia-Pacific will reach 2019 levels by the end of the year, benefiting countries in this region.
3. Commodities
China is a significant consumer and importer of raw materials and commodities, so its
reopening
is likely to increase demand and prices.However, there's still uncertainty regarding raw materials. In
January, prices increased, reflecting investors expectations of improved global activity. A month
later,
China sets it’s economic growth target at 5%, less than expected. Therefore prices slightly decreased,
reflecting investor concerns and fear of an uneven China's recovery.
Source: National Bureau of
Statistics of China
Index, 100 = 2010
Source: World Bank